The use of different probability distributions as described by the Exponential, Pareto, Lognormal, Rayleigh, and Gama probability functions applied to estimation the time of the next great earthquake (Ms≥6.0) in different seismotectonic provinces of Iran. This prediction is based on the information about past earthquake occurrences in the given region and the basic assumption that future seismic activity will follow the pattern of past activity by maximizing the conditional probability of earthquake occurrence. The estimated recurrence times and the error of estimation for different distributions have been computed for different provinces.
Yazdani, A. -., & Kowsari, M. (2011). STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE SEQUENCE OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN IRAN. International Journal of Engineering, 24(4), 325-336.
MLA
Azad - Yazdani; Milad Kowsari. "STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE SEQUENCE OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN IRAN". International Journal of Engineering, 24, 4, 2011, 325-336.
HARVARD
Yazdani, A. -., Kowsari, M. (2011). 'STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE SEQUENCE OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN IRAN', International Journal of Engineering, 24(4), pp. 325-336.
VANCOUVER
Yazdani, A. -., Kowsari, M. STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF THE SEQUENCE OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES IN IRAN. International Journal of Engineering, 2011; 24(4): 325-336.
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