TY - JOUR ID - 118866 TI - Reliability Evaluation of a Disaster Airflow Emergency Control System Based on Bayesian Networks JO - International Journal of Engineering JA - IJE LA - en SN - 1025-2495 AU - Zhang, J. AU - Ai, Z. AU - Guo, L. AU - Cui, X. AD - College of Mining Engineering, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, PR China Y1 - 2020 PY - 2020 VL - 33 IS - 11 SP - 2416 EP - 2424 KW - Bayesian Network KW - conditional probability KW - emergency airflow control system KW - Fault Diagnosis KW - Reliability DO - 10.5829/ije.2020.33.11b.32 N2 - This study proposed a novel method for system failure reasoning based on Bayesian networks to solve emergency airflow control system reliability problems. A system fault tree model was established to identify the logical relationship between the units, which was then transformed into a Bayesian network fault analysis model to determine network node states and the conditional probability table, as well as to carry out diagnostic reasoning on the system node branches. The reliability analysis of the model based on Netica Bayesian tool shows that the probability of system failure caused by substation communication node is the highest under normal conditions, and data monitoring and central station communication nodes have a greater impact on intelligent control. By predicting and diagnosing system faults, the optimization of system design is realized on the framework of Bayesian network to improve the reliability, and there by establishing a theoretical foundation for future disaster prevention research. UR - https://www.ije.ir/article_118866.html L1 - https://www.ije.ir/article_118866_7b6dd1152ae1dbda48d3163fe5e5cda1.pdf ER -